Resource details

Global Poverty Estimates: The developing world is poorer than we thought, but no less successfull in the fight against poverty, World Bank, 2008
Written/Published in 2008 by Shaohua Chen and Martin Ravallion

Extract

The paper presents a major overhaul to the World Bank’s past estimates of global poverty, incorporating  new and better data. Extreme poverty—as judged by what “poverty” means in the world’s poorest ountries—is found to be more pervasive than we thought. Yet the data also provide robust evidence of ontinually declining poverty incidence and depth since the early 1980s. For 2005 we estimate that 1.4 billion people, or one quarter of the population of the developing world, lived below our international line of $1.25 a day in 2005 prices; 25 years earlier there were 1.9 billion poor, or one half of the population. Progress was uneven across regions. The poverty rate in East Asia fell from 80% to under 20 percent over this period. By contrast it stayed at around 50 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa, though with signs of progress since the mid 1990s. Because of lags in survey data availability, these estimates do not yet reflect the sharp rise in food prices since 2005.

This paper—a product of the Development Research Group—is part of a larger effort in the department to monitor the developing world's progress against absolute poverty. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http://econ.worldbank.org.

The authors may be contacted at schen@worldbank.org or mravallion@worldbank.org.

Organisation
World Bank
Contributed on September 9, 2008 by Daniel Gerecke
Last updated on September 25, 2008
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